Paul Duncan

Paul Duncan,

Senior Associate Dean & Professor

Department: HP-HEALTH SERVICES ADMIN
Business Phone: (352) 392-6622
Business Email: pduncan@ufl.edu

About Paul Duncan

Paul Duncan has been a faculty member at the University of Florida since 1979. He currently serves as the Senior Associate Dean in the University of Florida Graduate School. Previously, he served as Associate Dean for Academic Affairs and also as Director of the Florida Center for Medicaid and the Uninsured. Dr. Duncan is a professor in the Department of Health Services Research, Management and Policy in the College of Public Health and Health Professions. His teaching assignment is focused on health policy, and working with PhD students.

Dr. Duncan is a nationally prominent health services researcher, best known for his studies of access to various forms of medical and dental care. In recent years, much of his work has focused on health insurance and the uninsured. Between 1999 and 2003, he served as Principal Investigator for three major surveys examining health insurance circumstances in Florida, Indiana, and Kansas. In 2004, Florida completed a replication of the Florida Health Insurance Study under Dr. Duncan’s leadership. His most recent research includes an 8-year contract with the Florida Agency for Health Care Administration to conduct an independent evaluation of Florida’s Medicaid reform initiative.

Teaching Profile

Courses Taught
2020-2023
PAS5005 Behav and Commnty Med 1
2018,2020-2021
PHC7980 Research for Doctoral Dissertation
2019-2021
PHC7979 Advanced Research
2006-2009,2011-2019,2015-2020,2019-2020
HSA7979 Advanced Research
2006,2008-2010,2010-2020
HSA7980 Research for Doctoral Dissertation
2009-2011,2013-2019,2016-2020,2018-2020
PHC6946 Public Health Internship
2013-2014,2016-2019,2018-2020
PHC6601 Seminar in Contemporary Public Health Issues
2017-2018
HSC4184 Health Care Leadership: Skills and Styles
2018
HSA7157 Research Foundations of Health Policy
2009-2010,2017
PHC6945 Public Health Practicum
2006,2009-2016,2016-2017
HSA7905 Advanced Individual Study in Health Services Research
2007,2013-2017,2017
HSA6905 Individual Study in Health Administration
2009,2016
HSA6152 Overview of U.S. Health Policy
2008-2015
HSC4970 Public Health and Health Professions Senior Honors Thesis
2009-2010,2012-2014,2014
HSA7106 Seminar in Health Care Access and Utilization
2009-2013
HSA3111 U.S. Health Care System
2006-2013,2021
HSA7938 Advanced Seminar in Health Services Research
2013
PHC4117 Public Health Management Leadership
2013
HSA6126 Managed Care
2012
PHC4930 Special Topics in Public Health
2012
PHC6937 Spec Top Public Hlth
2010-2012
PHC6905 Independent Study
2012
HSC3801 Clinical Observation / Health Care Volunteer Work
2010-2011
HSC2000 Introduction to Health Professions
2011
HSA6940 Supervised Teaching
2007,2009-2011,2011
HSA7414 Society Hlth/Med Care
2009,2011
PHC6917 Supervised Research Project
2008
HSA6105 Professional Skills Seminar
2021-2022
PHC6941 MPH Applied Practice Experience

Publications

2021
The health care utilization model: Application to dental care use for Black and Hispanic children.
Journal of public health dentistry. 81(3):188-197 [DOI] 10.1111/jphd.12430. [PMID] 33263212.
2020
Early Performance of Hospital Value-based Purchasing Program in Medicare: A Systematic Review.
Medical care. 58(8):734-743 [DOI] 10.1097/MLR.0000000000001354. [PMID] 32692140.
2017
Comparative effectiveness of dual vs. single-action antidepressants on HIV clinical outcomes in HIV-infected people with depression.
AIDS (London, England). 31(18):2515-2524 [DOI] 10.1097/QAD.0000000000001618. [PMID] 28832409.
2016
Sustainability of school-located influenza vaccination programs in Florida.
Vaccine. 34(24):2737-44 [DOI] 10.1016/j.vaccine.2016.04.017. [PMID] 27126875.
2015
Improving delivery of Bright Futures preventive services at the 9- and 24-month well child visit.
Pediatrics. 135(1):e178-86 [DOI] 10.1542/peds.2013-3119. [PMID] 25548322.
2014
Determinants of hospital fall rate trajectory groups: a longitudinal assessment of nurse staffing and organizational characteristics.
Health care management review. 39(4):352-60 [DOI] 10.1097/HMR.0000000000000013. [PMID] 24566249.
2014
Do provider service networks result in lower expenditures compared with HMOs or primary care case management in Florida’s Medicaid program?
Health services research. 49(3):858-77 [DOI] 10.1111/1475-6773.12129. [PMID] 24237112.
2014
Reported Experiences With Medicaid Managed Care Models Among Parents of Children
Maternal and Child Health Journal. 18(3):544-553 [DOI] 10.1007/s10995-013-1270-5. [PMID] 23605962.
2013
Incentives for healthy behaviors: experience from Florida Medicaid’s Enhanced Benefit Rewards program.
Journal of primary care & community health. 4(2):112-8 [DOI] 10.1177/2150131912458437. [PMID] 23799718.
2012
Critical Challenges and Impediments Affecting Rural Physicians During a Public Health Emergency
Disaster Medicine and Public Health Preparedness. 6:342-348
2011
Changes in per member per month expenditures after implementation of Florida’s Medicaid reform demonstration.
Health services research. 46(3):787-804 [DOI] 10.1111/j.1475-6773.2010.01226.x. [PMID] 21210798.
2011
Impact of Medicaid/Schip Disenrollment On Health Care Utilization and Expenditures Among Children: a Longitudinal Analysis
Medical Care Research and Review MCRR. 68(1):56-74 [DOI] 10.1177/1077558710374620. [PMID] 20675347.
2010
Implementing developmental screening and referrals: lessons learned from a national project.
Pediatrics. 125(2):350-60 [DOI] 10.1542/peds.2009-0388. [PMID] 20100754.
2010
Race, outpatient mental health service use, and survival after an AIDS diagnosis in the highly active antiretroviral therapy era.
AIDS patient care and STDs. 24(1):31-7 [DOI] 10.1089/apc.2009.0177. [PMID] 20095900.
2009
The Pivotal Impact of Center Characteristics On Survival of Candidates Listed for Deceased Donor Kidney Transplantation
. 47:146-153
2009
The pivotal impact of center characteristics on survival of candidates listed for deceased donor kidney transplantation.
Medical care. 47(2):146-53 [DOI] 10.1097/MLR.0b013e31818475c9. [PMID] 19169114.
2008
Acculturation and Orofacial Pain Among Hispanic Adults
Journal of Pain. 9:750-758 [DOI] 10.1016/i.jpain.2008.03.007.
2008
Acculturation and orofacial pain among Hispanic adults.
The journal of pain. 9(8):750-8 [DOI] 10.1016/j.jpain.2008.03.007. [PMID] 18456564.
2008
Assisting primary care practices in using office systems to promote early childhood development.
Ambulatory pediatrics : the official journal of the Ambulatory Pediatric Association. 8(6):383-7 [DOI] 10.1016/j.ambp.2008.06.007. [PMID] 19084789.
2008
Bright Futures: the screening table recommendations.
Pediatric annals. 37(3):152-8 [PMID] 18411858.
2008
Estimating a weighted average of stratum-specific parameters.
Statistics in medicine. 27(24):4972-91 [DOI] 10.1002/sim.3326. [PMID] 18570275.
2008
Evaluating Florida’S Medicaid Provider Services Network Demonstration
Health Services Research. 43(1 Pt 2):384-400 [DOI] 10.1111/j.1475-6773.2007.00768.x. [PMID] 18199192.
2008
Florida’s medicaid reform: informed consumer choice?
Health affairs (Project Hope). 27(6):w523-32 [DOI] 10.1377/hlthaff.27.6.w523. [PMID] 18854349.
2008
Patient-level and practice-level characteristics associated with receipt of preventive dental services: 48-month incidence.
Journal of public health dentistry. 68(4):209-17 [DOI] 10.1111/j.1752-7325.2007.00069.x. [PMID] 18248347.
2008
Predictors of injury among younger and older adults in fatal motor vehicle crashes.
Accident; analysis and prevention. 40(6):1804-10 [DOI] 10.1016/j.aap.2008.07.010. [PMID] 19068280.
2008
The Pivotal Implications of Center Selection for Candidates of Renal Transplantation
American Journal of Transplantation. 8
2007
Deceased donor kidney and liver transplantation to nonresident aliens in the United States.
Transplantation. 84(12):1548-56 [DOI] 10.1097/01.tp.0000296289.69158.a7. [PMID] 18165761.
2006
Statewide quality improvement outreach improves preventive services for young children.
Pediatrics. 118(4):e1039-47 [PMID] 16940162.
2004
Pain and the use of outpatient services among persons with HIV: results from a nationally representative survey.
Medical care. 42(2):129-38 [PMID] 14734950.
2003
Enrollee satisfaction with three Florida Medicaid managed care programs.
Managed care interface. 16(5):22-8 [PMID] 12789861.
2003
Relationship of dental status, sociodemographic status, and oral symptoms to perceived need for dental care.
Community dentistry and oral epidemiology. 31(5):351-60 [PMID] 14667006.
2003
The dynamics of toothache pain and dental services utilization: 24-month incidence.
Journal of public health dentistry. 63(4):227-34 [PMID] 14682646.
2002
Predictors of chewing difficulty onset among dentate adults: 24-month incidence.
Journal of public health dentistry. 62(4):214-21 [PMID] 12474625.
1999
Patterns of change in self-reported oral health among dentate adults.
Medical care. 37(12):1237-48 [PMID] 10599605.
1999
Tooth-specific and person-level predictors of 24-month tooth loss among older adults.
Community dentistry and oral epidemiology. 27(5):372-85 [PMID] 10503798.
1998
Evaluation for an observation effect in a prospective cohort study of oral health outcomes.
Community dentistry and oral epidemiology. 26(4):233-40 [PMID] 9758423.
1998
Multidimensionality of oral health in dentate adults.
Medical care. 36(7):988-1001 [PMID] 9674617.
1998
Oral functional limitation among dentate adults.
Journal of public health dentistry. 58(3):202-9 [PMID] 10101696.
1998
Taking dental self-care to the extreme: 24-month incidence of dental self-extractions in the Florida Dental Care Study.
Journal of public health dentistry. 58(2):131-4 [PMID] 9729757.
1997
Differences by race in the decline of health over time.
The journals of gerontology. Series B, Psychological sciences and social sciences. 52(6):S336-44 [PMID] 9403527.
1997
Evaluation of bias and logistics in a survey of adults at increased risk for oral health decrements.
Journal of public health dentistry. 57(1):48-58 [PMID] 9150063.
1997
Validity of self-reported tooth counts during a telephone screening interview.
Journal of public health dentistry. 57(3):176-80 [PMID] 9383757.
1995
Job satisfaction of nurses employed in rural and urban long-term care facilities.
Research in nursing & health. 18(3):271-84 [PMID] 7754097.
1991
Implementing a continuous quality improvement program in a community hospital.
QRB. Quality review bulletin. 17(4):106-12 [PMID] 1852431.

Grants

Dec 2016 – Jun 2022
MED180 – MMA (Managed Medical Assistance)
Role: Co-Investigator
Funding: AGCY FOR HLTH CARE ADMN via US DEPT OF HLTH AND HUMAN SER
Jan 2016 – Aug 2016
Medicaid Managed Care and the SFCCN
Role: Principal Investigator
Funding: SOUTH FL COMMUNITY CARE NETWORK

Contact Details

Phones:
Business:
(352) 392-6622
Emails:
Business:
pduncan@ufl.edu
Addresses:
Business Mailing:
PO Box 115500
GAINESVILLE FL 32611
Business Street:
1523 UNION RD
GAINESVILLE FL 32611